Mendocino County vs. California
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2020
Introduction
Mendocino County vs. California
Mendocino County:
2020 Population = 86,061
2020 Percent of State = 0.2%
California:
2020 Population = 39,368,078
2020 Percent of U.S. = 11.9%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Mendocino County with comparisons to California and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Mendocino County vs. California's population growth over 1969-2020. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2020
Population, 1969-2020
Figure 1.
Figure 1 traces Mendocino County's annual population for the period 1969-2020 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 52-year period, Mendocino County's population rose from 49,733 in 1969 to 86,061 in 2020, for a net gain of 36,328, or 73.0%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2020
Population, 1969-2020
Figure 2.
Figure 2 traces California's annual population for the period 1969-2020 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 52-year period, California's population rose from 19,711,000 in 1969 to 39,368,078 in 2020, for a net gain of 19,657,078, or 99.7%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2020
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2020
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Mendocino County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with California, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Mendocino County's overall population growth was 73.0% over 1969-2020 trailed California's increase of 99.7%, and outpaced the United States' increase of 63.7%.
Population as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2020
Population as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2020
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the population growth of Mendocino County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to California's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than California's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Mendocino County's population comprised 0.25% of California's population, while in 2020 it comprised 0.22% thereby yielding a -0.03% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2020 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2020
vs.
1969
-0.03%
=
0.22%
-
0.25%
 
   
Mendocino County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2020
Mendocino County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2020
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Mendocino County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2020. The average annual percent change for the entire 51-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Mendocino County's population grew at an annual rate of 1.09% over 1970-2020. The county recorded its highest growth in 1973 (4.85%) and posted its lowest growth in 2020 (-1.00%). In 2020, Mendocino County's population declined by -1.00%
Mendocino County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2020
Mendocino County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2020
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Mendocino County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2020.
During the 1970s, Mendocino County's annual population growth rate averaged 2.72%. It averaged 1.90% in the 1980s, 0.89% in the 1990s, 0.24% in the 2000s, -0.09% throughout the 2010s, and -1.00% in 2020.
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Mendocino County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for California and the nation. As the chart reveals, Mendocino County's average annual population growth outpaced California's average throughout the 1970s (2.72% vs. 1.67%), fell below California's average throughout the 1980s (1.90% vs. 2.31%), trailed California's average during the 1990s (0.89% vs. 1.38%), lagged California's average in the 2000s (0.24% vs. 0.99%), and lagged California's average over the 10 year period of the last decade, 2010-2019 (-0.09% vs. 0.65%). In 2020, Mendocino County's growth has fell below California's average (-1.00% vs. -0.18%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Mendocino County surpassed the nation throughout the 1970s (2.72% vs. 1.10%), outgained the nation during the 1980s (1.90% vs. 0.95%), fell below the nation in the 1990s (0.89% vs. 1.23%), posted below the nation over the 2000s (0.24% vs. 0.95%), and lagged the nation over 2010-2019 (-0.09% vs. 0.68%). In 2020, growth for Mendocino County has trailed the national average (-1.00% vs. 0.35%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.09
2.72
1.90
0.89
0.24
-0.09
-1.00
 
1.37
1.67
2.31
1.38
0.99
0.65
-0.18
 
0.97
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.68
0.35
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Mendocino County:
Population, 1969-2020
 
1969
 
49,733
100.0
N
0.25
1970
 
51,267
103.1
3.08
0.26
1971
 
52,008
104.6
1.45
0.26
1972
 
52,517
105.6
0.98
0.26
1973
 
55,063
110.7
4.85
0.26
1974
 
56,524
113.7
2.65
0.27
1975
 
57,243
115.1
1.27
0.27
1976
 
58,926
118.5
2.94
0.27
1977
 
61,122
122.9
3.73
0.27
1978
 
62,985
126.6
3.05
0.28
1979
 
65,018
130.7
3.23
0.28
1980
 
67,093
134.9
3.19
0.28
1981
 
68,385
137.5
1.93
0.28
1982
 
69,726
140.2
1.96
0.28
1983
 
70,700
142.2
1.40
0.28
1984
 
71,811
144.4
1.57
0.28
1985
 
73,390
147.6
2.20
0.28
1986
 
74,293
149.4
1.23
0.27
1987
 
75,320
151.4
1.38
0.27
1988
 
76,493
153.8
1.56
0.27
1989
 
78,444
157.7
2.55
0.27
1990
 
80,859
162.6
3.08
0.27
1991
 
81,729
164.3
1.08
0.27
1992
 
81,978
164.8
0.30
0.26
1993
 
82,126
165.1
0.18
0.26
1994
 
82,427
165.7
0.37
0.26
1995
 
83,277
167.4
1.03
0.26
1996
 
83,887
168.7
0.73
0.26
1997
 
84,370
169.6
0.58
0.26
1998
 
85,062
171.0
0.82
0.26
1999
 
85,665
172.2
0.71
0.26
2000
 
86,407
173.7
0.87
0.25
2001
 
86,841
174.6
0.50
0.25
2002
 
87,364
175.7
0.60
0.25
2003
 
88,140
177.2
0.89
0.25
2004
 
88,030
177.0
-0.12
0.25
2005
 
87,981
176.9
-0.06
0.25
2006
 
87,345
175.6
-0.72
0.24
2007
 
87,071
175.1
-0.31
0.24
2008
 
87,468
175.9
0.46
0.24
2009
 
87,722
176.4
0.29
0.24
2010
 
87,796
176.5
0.08
0.24
2011
 
87,335
175.6
-0.53
0.23
2012
 
87,293
175.5
-0.05
0.23
2013
 
87,070
175.1
-0.26
0.23
2014
 
87,247
175.4
0.20
0.23
2015
 
87,131
175.2
-0.13
0.22
2016
 
87,319
175.6
0.22
0.22
2017
 
87,690
176.3
0.42
0.22
2018
 
87,549
176.0
-0.16
0.22
2019
 
86,932
174.8
-0.70
0.22
2020
 
86,061
173.0
-1.00
0.22
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2021
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
California:
Population, 1969-2020
 
1969
 
19,711,000
100.0
N
9.79
1970
 
20,023,181
101.6
1.58
9.82
1971
 
20,345,575
103.2
1.61
9.84
1972
 
20,584,794
104.4
1.18
9.84
1973
 
20,867,737
105.9
1.37
9.87
1974
 
21,172,548
107.4
1.46
9.92
1975
 
21,536,715
109.3
1.72
10.00
1976
 
21,934,505
111.3
1.85
10.08
1977
 
22,350,247
113.4
1.90
10.17
1978
 
22,838,960
115.9
2.19
10.28
1979
 
23,255,069
118.0
1.82
10.36
1980
 
23,800,800
120.7
2.35
10.47
1981
 
24,285,933
123.2
2.04
10.58
1982
 
24,820,007
125.9
2.20
10.71
1983
 
25,360,023
128.7
2.18
10.85
1984
 
25,844,397
131.1
1.91
10.96
1985
 
26,441,107
134.1
2.31
11.11
1986
 
27,102,238
137.5
2.50
11.29
1987
 
27,777,160
140.9
2.49
11.46
1988
 
28,464,250
144.4
2.47
11.64
1989
 
29,218,165
148.2
2.65
11.84
1990
 
29,959,515
152.0
2.54
12.00
1991
 
30,470,736
154.6
1.71
12.04
1992
 
30,974,659
157.1
1.65
12.08
1993
 
31,274,928
158.7
0.97
12.03
1994
 
31,484,435
159.7
0.67
11.97
1995
 
31,696,582
160.8
0.67
11.90
1996
 
32,018,834
162.4
1.02
11.89
1997
 
32,486,010
164.8
1.46
11.92
1998
 
32,987,675
167.4
1.54
11.96
1999
 
33,499,204
170.0
1.55
12.01
2000
 
33,987,977
172.4
1.46
12.05
2001
 
34,479,458
174.9
1.45
12.10
2002
 
34,871,843
176.9
1.14
12.12
2003
 
35,253,159
178.9
1.09
12.15
2004
 
35,574,576
180.5
0.91
12.15
2005
 
35,827,943
181.8
0.71
12.12
2006
 
36,021,202
182.7
0.54
12.07
2007
 
36,250,311
183.9
0.64
12.03
2008
 
36,604,337
185.7
0.98
12.04
2009
 
36,961,229
187.5
0.97
12.05
2010
 
37,319,550
189.3
0.97
12.06
2011
 
37,636,311
190.9
0.85
12.08
2012
 
37,944,551
192.5
0.82
12.09
2013
 
38,253,768
194.1
0.81
12.10
2014
 
38,586,706
195.8
0.87
12.12
2015
 
38,904,296
197.4
0.82
12.13
2016
 
39,149,186
198.6
0.63
12.12
2017
 
39,337,785
199.6
0.48
12.10
2018
 
39,437,463
200.1
0.25
12.07
2019
 
39,437,610
200.1
0.00
12.01
2020
 
39,368,078
199.7
-0.18
11.95
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2021
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2020
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,327,143
153.7
0.83
2011
 
311,583,481
154.8
0.73
2012
 
313,877,662
155.9
0.74
2013
 
316,059,947
157.0
0.70
2014
 
318,386,329
158.2
0.74
2015
 
320,738,994
159.3
0.74
2016
 
323,071,755
160.5
0.73
2017
 
325,122,128
161.5
0.63
2018
 
326,838,199
162.4
0.53
2019
 
328,329,953
163.1
0.46
2020
 
329,484,123
163.7
0.35
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2021
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2022. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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