Tuolumne County vs. California
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Tuolumne County:
2017 Population = 54,248
2017 Percent of State = 0.1%
California:
2017 Population = 39,536,653
2017 Percent of State = 12.1%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Tuolumne County with comparisons to California and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Tuolumne County vs. California's population growth over 1969-2017. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Tuolumne County's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Tuolumne County's population rose from 21,286 in 1969 to 54,248 in 2017, for a net gain of 32,962, or 154.9%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks California's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, California's population rose from 19,711,000 in 1969 to 39,536,653 in 2017, for a net gain of 19,825,653, or 100.6%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Tuolumne County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with California, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Tuolumne County's overall population growth was 154.9% over 1969-2017 outpaced California's increase of 100.6%, and outpaced the United States' increase of 61.8%.
Population as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2017
Population as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the population growth of Tuolumne County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to California's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than California's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Tuolumne County's population comprised 0.11% of California's population, while in 2017 it comprised 0.14% thereby yielding a +0.03% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2017 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2017
vs.
1969
+0.03%
=
0.14%
-
0.11%
 
   
Tuolumne County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Tuolumne County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Tuolumne County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Tuolumne County's population grew at an annual rate of 1.99% over 1970-2017. The county recorded its highest growth in 1978 (8.21%) and recorded its lowest growth in 2010 (-1.18%). In 2017, Tuolumne County's population grew by 0.86%
Tuolumne County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Tuolumne County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Tuolumne County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Tuolumne County's annual population growth rate averaged 4.46%. It averaged 3.62% throughout the 1980s, 1.41% throughout the 1990s, 0.37% throughout the 2000s, and -0.36% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Tuolumne County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for California and the nation. As the chart reveals, Tuolumne County's average annual population growth outgained California's average throughout the 1970s (4.46% vs. 1.67%), registered above California's average during the 1980s (3.62% vs. 2.31%), exceeded California's average throughout the 1990s (1.41% vs. 1.38%), posted below California's average in the 2000s (0.37% vs. 0.99%), and posted below California's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (-0.36% vs. 0.85%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Tuolumne County led the nation throughout the 1970s (4.46% vs. 1.10%), outperformed the nation in the 1980s (3.62% vs. 0.95%), recorded above the nation over the 1990s (1.41% vs. 1.23%), recorded underneath the nation throughout the 2000s (0.37% vs. 0.95%), and recorded underneath the nation over 2010-2017 (-0.36% vs. 0.75%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.99
4.46
3.62
1.41
0.37
-0.36
0.86
 
1.46
1.67
2.31
1.38
0.99
0.85
0.61
 
1.01
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.75
0.72
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Tuolumne County:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
21,286
100.0
N
0.11
1970
 
22,360
105.0
5.05
0.11
1971
 
23,057
108.3
3.12
0.11
1972
 
23,264
109.3
0.90
0.11
1973
 
24,173
113.6
3.91
0.12
1974
 
24,871
116.8
2.89
0.12
1975
 
25,964
122.0
4.39
0.12
1976
 
26,520
124.6
2.14
0.12
1977
 
28,441
133.6
7.24
0.13
1978
 
30,775
144.6
8.21
0.13
1979
 
32,850
154.3
6.74
0.14
1980
 
34,205
160.7
4.12
0.14
1981
 
35,246
165.6
3.04
0.15
1982
 
36,259
170.3
2.87
0.15
1983
 
37,255
175.0
2.75
0.15
1984
 
38,058
178.8
2.16
0.15
1985
 
39,741
186.7
4.42
0.15
1986
 
41,583
195.4
4.64
0.15
1987
 
43,335
203.6
4.21
0.16
1988
 
45,029
211.5
3.91
0.16
1989
 
46,877
220.2
4.10
0.16
1990
 
48,845
229.5
4.20
0.16
1991
 
50,037
235.1
2.44
0.16
1992
 
50,806
238.7
1.54
0.16
1993
 
51,774
243.2
1.91
0.17
1994
 
52,068
244.6
0.57
0.17
1995
 
51,812
243.4
-0.49
0.16
1996
 
52,474
246.5
1.28
0.16
1997
 
52,678
247.5
0.39
0.16
1998
 
53,098
249.5
0.80
0.16
1999
 
53,857
253.0
1.43
0.16
2000
 
54,658
256.8
1.49
0.16
2001
 
55,253
259.6
1.09
0.16
2002
 
55,850
262.4
1.08
0.16
2003
 
56,513
265.5
1.19
0.16
2004
 
56,602
265.9
0.16
0.16
2005
 
56,788
266.8
0.33
0.16
2006
 
56,680
266.3
-0.19
0.16
2007
 
56,339
264.7
-0.60
0.16
2008
 
56,320
264.6
-0.03
0.15
2009
 
55,845
262.4
-0.84
0.15
2010
 
55,188
259.3
-1.18
0.15
2011
 
54,832
257.6
-0.65
0.15
2012
 
54,237
254.8
-1.09
0.14
2013
 
54,018
253.8
-0.40
0.14
2014
 
53,852
253.0
-0.31
0.14
2015
 
53,589
251.8
-0.49
0.14
2016
 
53,787
252.7
0.37
0.14
2017
 
54,248
254.9
0.86
0.14
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
California:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
19,711,000
100.0
N
9.79
1970
 
20,023,181
101.6
1.58
9.82
1971
 
20,345,575
103.2
1.61
9.84
1972
 
20,584,794
104.4
1.18
9.84
1973
 
20,867,737
105.9
1.37
9.87
1974
 
21,172,548
107.4
1.46
9.92
1975
 
21,536,715
109.3
1.72
10.00
1976
 
21,934,505
111.3
1.85
10.08
1977
 
22,350,247
113.4
1.90
10.17
1978
 
22,838,960
115.9
2.19
10.28
1979
 
23,255,069
118.0
1.82
10.36
1980
 
23,800,800
120.7
2.35
10.47
1981
 
24,285,933
123.2
2.04
10.58
1982
 
24,820,007
125.9
2.20
10.71
1983
 
25,360,023
128.7
2.18
10.85
1984
 
25,844,397
131.1
1.91
10.96
1985
 
26,441,107
134.1
2.31
11.11
1986
 
27,102,238
137.5
2.50
11.29
1987
 
27,777,160
140.9
2.49
11.46
1988
 
28,464,250
144.4
2.47
11.64
1989
 
29,218,165
148.2
2.65
11.84
1990
 
29,959,515
152.0
2.54
12.00
1991
 
30,470,736
154.6
1.71
12.04
1992
 
30,974,659
157.1
1.65
12.08
1993
 
31,274,928
158.7
0.97
12.03
1994
 
31,484,435
159.7
0.67
11.97
1995
 
31,696,582
160.8
0.67
11.90
1996
 
32,018,834
162.4
1.02
11.89
1997
 
32,486,010
164.8
1.46
11.92
1998
 
32,987,675
167.4
1.54
11.96
1999
 
33,499,204
170.0
1.55
12.01
2000
 
33,987,977
172.4
1.46
12.05
2001
 
34,479,458
174.9
1.45
12.10
2002
 
34,871,843
176.9
1.14
12.12
2003
 
35,253,159
178.9
1.09
12.15
2004
 
35,574,576
180.5
0.91
12.15
2005
 
35,827,943
181.8
0.71
12.12
2006
 
36,021,202
182.7
0.54
12.07
2007
 
36,250,311
183.9
0.64
12.03
2008
 
36,604,337
185.7
0.98
12.04
2009
 
36,961,229
187.5
0.97
12.05
2010
 
37,327,690
189.4
0.99
12.07
2011
 
37,672,654
191.1
0.92
12.09
2012
 
38,019,006
192.9
0.92
12.11
2013
 
38,347,383
194.5
0.86
12.13
2014
 
38,701,278
196.3
0.92
12.15
2015
 
39,032,444
198.0
0.86
12.16
2016
 
39,296,476
199.4
0.68
12.15
2017
 
39,536,653
200.6
0.61
12.14
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,338,421
153.7
0.84
2011
 
311,644,280
154.8
0.75
2012
 
313,993,272
156.0
0.75
2013
 
316,234,505
157.1
0.71
2014
 
318,622,525
158.3
0.76
2015
 
321,039,839
159.5
0.76
2016
 
323,405,935
160.7
0.74
2017
 
325,719,178
161.8
0.72
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2019. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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