Siskiyou County vs. California
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Employment Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Siskiyou County:
2017 Jobs = 21,465
2017 Percent of State = 0.1%
California:
2017 Jobs = 23,584,800
2017 Percent of State = 12.0%
Employment numbers remain the most popular and frequently cited statistics used for tracking local area economic conditions and trends. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) employment estimates reported measure the number of full- and part-time wage and salary employees, plus the number of proprietors of unincorporated businesses. People holding more than one job are counted in the employment estimates for each job they hold. This means BEA employment estimates represent a job count, not a people count. Also, BEA employment is by place-of-work, rather than by place-of-residence. Jobs held by neighboring county residents who commute to Siskiyou County to work are included in the employment count for Siskiyou County.
Data Definition:
The BEA employment series for states and local areas comprises estimates of the number of jobs, full-time plus part-time, by place of work. Full-time and part-time jobs are counted at equal weight. Employees, sole proprietors, and active partners are included, but unpaid family workers and volunteers are not included. Proprietors employment consists of the number of sole proprietorships and the number of partners in partnerships. The description "by place of work" applies to the wage and salary portion of the series and, with relatively little error, to the entire series. The proprietors employment portion of the series, however, is more nearly by place of residence because, for nonfarm sole proprietorships, the estimates are based on IRS tax data that reflect the address from which the proprietor's individual tax return is filed, which is usually the proprietor's residence. The nonfarm partnership portion of the proprietors employment series reflects the tax-filing address of the partnership, which may be either the residence of one of the partners or the business address of the partnership. The employment estimates are designed to be consistent with the estimates of wage and salary disbursements and proprietors' income that are part of the personal income series. The employment estimates are based on the same sets of source data as the corresponding earnings estimates and are prepared with parallel methodologies. Two forms of proprietors' income-the income of limited partnerships and the income of tax-exempt cooperatives-have no corresponding employment estimates.
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Figure 1.
Figure 1 traces Siskiyou County's annual total employment for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Siskiyou County's total employment rose from 14,497 in 1969 to 21,465 in 2017, for a net gain of 6,968, or 48.1%.
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks California's annual total employment for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 49-year period, California's total employment rose from 9,032,738 in 1969 to 23,584,800 in 2017, for a net gain of 14,552,062, or 161.1%.
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Siskiyou County's total employment growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with California, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's total employment in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the total employments in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in total employment growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Siskiyou County's overall total employment growth was 48.1% over 1969-2017 trailed California's increase of 161.1%, and fell below the United States' increase of 115.4%.
Total Employment as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2017
Total Employment as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the total employment growth of Siskiyou County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to California's statewide total employment over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total employment grew faster, or declined less, than California's total employment, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Siskiyou County's total employment comprised 0.16% of California's total employment, while in 2017 it comprised 0.09% thereby yielding a -0.07% share-shift.
   
 
Total Employment Share-Shift
2017 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2017
vs.
1969
-0.07%
=
0.09%
-
0.16%
 
   
Siskiyou County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Siskiyou County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Siskiyou County's total employment growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Siskiyou County's total employment grew at an annual rate of 0.85% over 1970-2017. The county recorded its highest growth in 1972 (5.06%) and posted its lowest growth in 1982 (-5.52%). In 2017, Siskiyou County's total employment grew by 1.37%
Siskiyou County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Siskiyou County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Siskiyou County's total employment since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Siskiyou County's annual total employment growth rate averaged 2.32%. It averaged 0.74% in the 1980s, 1.24% in the 1990s, -0.42% in the 2000s, and 0.23% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Siskiyou County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for California and the nation. As the chart reveals, Siskiyou County's average annual total employment growth trailed California's average in the 1970s (2.32% vs. 3.29%), recorded under California's average throughout the 1980s (0.74% vs. 2.81%), amounted to less than California's average during the 1990s (1.24% vs. 1.40%), recorded under California's average during the 2000s (-0.42% vs. 0.52%), and recorded under California's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (0.23% vs. 2.20%).
Finally, relative to nationwide total employment growth trends, Siskiyou County surpassed the nation over the 1970s (2.32% vs. 2.21%), fell under the nation during the 1980s (0.74% vs. 1.88%), fell below the nation in the 1990s (1.24% vs. 1.73%), recorded underneath the nation during the 2000s (-0.42% vs. 0.74%), and posted below the nation over 2010-2017 (0.23% vs. 1.54%).
   
 
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.85
2.32
0.74
1.24
-0.42
0.23
1.37
 
2.04
3.29
2.81
1.40
0.52
2.20
1.79
 
1.62
2.21
1.88
1.73
0.74
1.54
1.43
 
   
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2017
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2017
Figure 8.
The job ratios shown in Figure 8 for Siskiyou County, California and the nation not only portray a number of important trends, they also serves as a thumbnail guide to evaluating an economy's capacity to generate enough jobs fast enough to absorb the increasing number of workers attendant to a growing population. The job ratio is the number of full-time and part-time jobs by place of work, divided by population.
Nationally, the job ratio rose from 0.45 to 0.60 between 1969 and 2017. Siskiyou County's job ratio registered 0.44 in 1969, and 0.49 in 2017. Underlying the rising job ratio over the past several decades have been the increases in the labor force participation rates, with the number and proportion of women in the labor market playing a leading role.
An assortment of other factors can contribute to regional differences in the job ratio. They include differences in the proportion of elderly and retirees who no longer work and participate in the labor force, differences in the number and proportion of part-time vs. full-time workers, differences in industry composition, and differences in age and sex distribution and degree of urbanization. Also, a disproportionate number of workers commuting to work outside a county tends to lower its local county job ratio, while a net inflow of workers commuting to work inside the county tends to augment its local county job ratio.
Avoid interpreting the job ratio as the fraction (or percent) of the local population employed. This interpretation should only apply to the "employment-population ratio" statistic compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from the Current Population Survey (CPS).
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2017
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2017
Figure 9.
To highlight trends in a local job ratio relative to nationwide trends, Figure 9 tracks Siskiyou County's, California's job ratio as a percent of the national job ratio over 1969-2017.

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Siskiyou County:
Total Employment, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
14,497
100.0
N
0.16
0.44
97.06
1970
 
14,085
97.2
-2.84
0.16
0.42
94.56
1971
 
14,259
98.4
1.24
0.16
0.43
96.46
1972
 
14,981
103.3
5.06
0.16
0.45
99.19
1973
 
15,500
106.9
3.46
0.16
0.45
96.98
1974
 
15,664
108.0
1.06
0.15
0.45
96.56
1975
 
16,136
111.3
3.01
0.16
0.46
100.59
1976
 
16,861
116.3
4.49
0.16
0.47
101.31
1977
 
17,216
118.8
2.11
0.15
0.47
98.46
1978
 
17,883
123.4
3.87
0.15
0.48
96.18
1979
 
18,199
125.5
1.77
0.15
0.47
93.14
1980
 
17,851
123.1
-1.91
0.14
0.45
89.07
1981
 
18,187
125.5
1.88
0.14
0.45
89.11
1982
 
17,183
118.5
-5.52
0.13
0.42
84.47
1983
 
17,017
117.4
-0.97
0.13
0.41
83.48
1984
 
17,337
119.6
1.88
0.13
0.42
82.20
1985
 
17,521
120.9
1.06
0.12
0.42
80.97
1986
 
17,804
122.8
1.62
0.12
0.43
82.25
1987
 
18,315
126.3
2.87
0.12
0.44
82.73
1988
 
18,834
129.9
2.83
0.12
0.45
82.04
1989
 
19,520
134.6
3.64
0.12
0.46
82.56
1990
 
20,050
138.3
2.72
0.12
0.46
82.71
1991
 
20,000
138.0
-0.25
0.12
0.45
83.50
1992
 
20,132
138.9
0.66
0.12
0.45
84.37
1993
 
20,027
138.1
-0.52
0.12
0.45
83.75
1994
 
20,771
143.3
3.71
0.13
0.47
85.36
1995
 
21,296
146.9
2.53
0.13
0.48
85.65
1996
 
21,794
150.3
2.34
0.13
0.49
86.94
1997
 
21,802
150.4
0.04
0.12
0.48
85.42
1998
 
22,251
153.5
2.06
0.12
0.50
86.36
1999
 
22,057
152.1
-0.87
0.12
0.50
85.77
2000
 
21,835
150.6
-1.01
0.11
0.49
84.25
2001
 
21,889
151.0
0.25
0.11
0.50
85.83
2002
 
21,872
150.9
-0.08
0.11
0.50
86.67
2003
 
21,860
150.8
-0.05
0.11
0.49
86.30
2004
 
21,957
151.5
0.44
0.11
0.49
85.77
2005
 
21,706
149.7
-1.14
0.11
0.49
83.38
2006
 
22,235
153.4
2.44
0.11
0.50
84.80
2007
 
22,494
155.2
1.16
0.11
0.51
84.87
2008
 
22,084
152.3
-1.82
0.11
0.49
83.68
2009
 
21,115
145.7
-4.39
0.11
0.47
83.29
2010
 
20,440
141.0
-3.20
0.10
0.45
81.38
2011
 
19,896
137.2
-2.66
0.10
0.45
78.93
2012
 
19,603
135.2
-1.47
0.09
0.44
78.01
2013
 
19,779
136.4
0.90
0.09
0.45
78.79
2014
 
20,358
140.4
2.93
0.09
0.47
80.27
2015
 
20,541
141.7
0.90
0.09
0.47
79.93
2016
 
21,175
146.1
3.09
0.09
0.49
81.39
2017
 
21,465
148.1
1.37
0.09
0.49
81.29
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
California:
Total Employment, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
9,032,738
100.0
N
9.92
0.46
101.31
1970
 
9,056,897
100.3
0.27
9.92
0.45
100.99
1971
 
9,036,074
100.0
-0.23
9.87
0.44
100.30
1972
 
9,368,468
103.7
3.68
9.93
0.46
100.99
1973
 
9,843,939
109.0
5.08
10.00
0.47
101.29
1974
 
10,163,089
112.5
3.24
10.15
0.48
102.29
1975
 
10,286,346
113.9
1.21
10.40
0.48
104.05
1976
 
10,632,968
117.7
3.37
10.47
0.48
103.81
1977
 
11,119,255
123.1
4.57
10.59
0.50
104.08
1978
 
11,815,943
130.8
6.27
10.77
0.52
104.76
1979
 
12,460,727
138.0
5.46
11.01
0.54
106.35
1980
 
12,761,955
141.3
2.42
11.20
0.54
106.89
1981
 
12,934,962
143.2
1.36
11.26
0.53
106.35
1982
 
12,862,878
142.4
-0.56
11.27
0.52
105.16
1983
 
13,182,023
145.9
2.48
11.40
0.52
105.08
1984
 
13,796,978
152.7
4.67
11.45
0.53
104.45
1985
 
14,284,986
158.1
3.54
11.54
0.54
103.83
1986
 
14,709,923
162.9
2.97
11.65
0.54
103.25
1987
 
15,300,046
169.4
4.01
11.81
0.55
103.02
1988
 
16,021,802
177.4
4.72
12.00
0.56
103.04
1989
 
16,425,901
181.8
2.52
12.06
0.56
101.89
1990
 
16,834,515
186.4
2.49
12.17
0.56
101.40
1991
 
16,750,052
185.4
-0.50
12.17
0.55
101.06
1992
 
16,390,983
181.5
-2.14
11.86
0.53
98.24
1993
 
16,367,123
181.2
-0.15
11.63
0.52
96.63
1994
 
16,540,724
183.1
1.06
11.47
0.53
95.87
1995
 
16,939,791
187.5
2.41
11.45
0.53
96.21
1996
 
17,341,994
192.0
2.37
11.48
0.54
96.59
1997
 
17,667,115
195.6
1.87
11.43
0.54
95.95
1998
 
18,432,219
204.1
4.33
11.63
0.56
97.26
1999
 
18,855,775
208.7
2.30
11.67
0.56
97.23
2000
 
19,228,440
212.9
1.98
11.63
0.57
96.53
2001
 
19,341,458
214.1
0.59
11.69
0.56
96.58
2002
 
19,358,164
214.3
0.09
11.73
0.56
96.71
2003
 
19,478,671
215.6
0.62
11.74
0.55
96.61
2004
 
19,784,145
219.0
1.57
11.72
0.56
96.45
2005
 
20,126,877
222.8
1.73
11.68
0.56
96.33
2006
 
20,505,187
227.0
1.88
11.66
0.57
96.58
2007
 
20,888,396
231.3
1.87
11.63
0.58
96.68
2008
 
20,654,292
228.7
-1.12
11.52
0.56
95.74
2009
 
19,837,628
219.6
-3.95
11.42
0.54
94.82
2010
 
19,642,444
217.5
-0.98
11.36
0.53
94.15
2011
 
19,986,021
221.3
1.75
11.35
0.53
93.89
2012
 
20,666,908
228.8
3.41
11.55
0.54
95.37
2013
 
21,319,995
236.0
3.16
11.69
0.56
96.43
2014
 
21,998,371
243.5
3.18
11.81
0.57
97.25
2015
 
22,688,560
251.2
3.14
11.92
0.58
98.05
2016
 
23,169,071
256.5
2.12
11.98
0.59
98.61
2017
 
23,584,800
261.1
1.79
12.02
0.60
99.07
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Employment, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
91,053,200
100.0
N
0.45
1970
 
91,277,600
100.2
0.25
0.45
1971
 
91,581,400
100.6
0.33
0.44
1972
 
94,312,200
103.6
2.98
0.45
1973
 
98,427,500
108.1
4.36
0.47
1974
 
100,111,800
109.9
1.71
0.47
1975
 
98,900,600
108.6
-1.21
0.46
1976
 
101,591,200
111.6
2.72
0.47
1977
 
105,042,200
115.4
3.40
0.48
1978
 
109,686,600
120.5
4.42
0.49
1979
 
113,147,100
124.3
3.15
0.50
1980
 
113,983,200
125.2
0.74
0.50
1981
 
114,914,000
126.2
0.82
0.50
1982
 
114,163,300
125.4
-0.65
0.49
1983
 
115,645,700
127.0
1.30
0.49
1984
 
120,528,100
132.4
4.22
0.51
1985
 
123,796,700
136.0
2.71
0.52
1986
 
126,232,300
138.6
1.97
0.53
1987
 
129,548,400
142.3
2.63
0.53
1988
 
133,563,900
146.7
3.10
0.55
1989
 
136,177,800
149.6
1.96
0.55
1990
 
138,330,900
151.9
1.58
0.55
1991
 
137,612,800
151.1
-0.52
0.54
1992
 
138,166,100
151.7
0.40
0.54
1993
 
140,774,400
154.6
1.89
0.54
1994
 
144,196,600
158.4
2.43
0.55
1995
 
147,915,800
162.4
2.58
0.56
1996
 
151,056,200
165.9
2.12
0.56
1997
 
154,541,200
169.7
2.31
0.57
1998
 
158,481,200
174.1
2.55
0.57
1999
 
161,531,300
177.4
1.92
0.58
2000
 
165,370,800
181.6
2.38
0.59
2001
 
165,522,200
181.8
0.09
0.58
2002
 
165,095,100
181.3
-0.26
0.57
2003
 
165,921,500
182.2
0.50
0.57
2004
 
168,839,700
185.4
1.76
0.58
2005
 
172,338,400
189.3
2.07
0.58
2006
 
175,868,600
193.1
2.05
0.59
2007
 
179,543,700
197.2
2.09
0.60
2008
 
179,213,900
196.8
-0.18
0.59
2009
 
173,636,700
190.7
-3.11
0.57
2010
 
172,901,700
189.9
-0.42
0.56
2011
 
176,091,700
193.4
1.84
0.57
2012
 
178,979,700
196.6
1.64
0.57
2013
 
182,325,100
200.2
1.87
0.58
2014
 
186,235,800
204.5
2.14
0.58
2015
 
190,317,800
209.0
2.19
0.59
2016
 
193,368,900
212.4
1.60
0.60
2017
 
196,132,200
215.4
1.43
0.60
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2019. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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