Modoc County vs. California
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Personal Income Growth and Change, 1969-2018
Introduction
Modoc County:
2018 TPI = $393,406K
2018 Percent of State = 0.0%
California:
2018 TPI = $2,514,129,262K
2018 Percent of State = 14.1%
The annual total personal incomes (TPI) estimates compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, (BEA) are among the most comprehensive, consistent, comparable and timely measures of economic activity available statewide and at the national levels. Personal income estimates are also the best available local level indicator of general purchasing power, and are therefore central to tracking and comparing county patterns of economic growth and change.
The following graphs highlight trends in the pattern of growth and change in the total personal income of Modoc County and California with comparison to the nation. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. The 2012 constant dollar (real) estimates of total personal income reported in the tables and portrayed graphically below are determined using the Implicit Price Deflator for Personal Consumption.
Data Definition:
Personal income is the income received by persons from participation in production, plus transfer receipts from government and business, plus government interest (which is treated like a transfer receipt). It is defined as the sum of wages and salaries, supplements to wages and salaries, proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and personal current transfer receipts, less contributions for government social insurance. Because the personal income of an area represents the income that is received by, or on behalf of, all the persons who live in that area, and because the estimates of some components of personal income (wages and salaries, supplements to wages and salaries, and contributions for government social insurance) are made on a place-of-work basis, state personal income includes an adjustment for residence. The residence adjustment represents the net flow of compensation (less contributions for government social insurance) of interstate commuters.
Modoc County Total Personal Income, 1970-2018
Current vs. Constant Dollars (Millions)
Modoc County Total Personal Income, 1970-2018
Current vs. Constant Dollars (Millions)
Figure 1.
Figure 1 depicts Modoc County's annual total personal income over 1970-2018 in current and constant (2012) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Modoc County over time.
When measured in current dollars, Modoc County's total personal income increased 1,066.0%, from $34M in 1970 to $393M in 2018. When measured in constant 2012 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 125.9%, from $161M in 1970 to $364M in 2018.
Real Total Personal Income, 1969-2018 (Millions)
Real Total Personal Income, 1969-2018 (Millions)
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Modoc County's and California's annual real total personal income for the period 1969-2018 to illustrate real total personal income patterns over time. During this 50-year period, Modoc County's real total personal income rose from $159M in 1969 to $364M in 2018, for a net gain of $205M, or 128.5%. In comparison, California's real total personal income advanced from $460,455M in 1969 to $2,324,819M in 2018, for a net advance of $1,864,364M, or 404.9%.
Real Total Personal Income Indices (1969=100): 1969-2018
Real Total Personal Income Indices (1969=100): 1969-2018
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Modoc County's real total personal income growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with California, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real total personal income in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real total personal incomes in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real total personal income growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Modoc County's overall real total personal income growth was 128.5% over 1969-2018 trailed California's increase of 404.9%, and fell below the United States' increase of 316.7%.
Total Personal Income as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2018
Total Personal Income as a Percent of the California Total: 1969-2018
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the total personal income growth of Modoc County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to California's statewide total personal income over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total personal income grew faster, or declined less, than California's total personal income, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Modoc County's total personal income totaled 0.03% of California's total personal income, while in 2018 it totaled 0.02% thereby yielding a -0.02% share-shift.
   
 
Total Personal Income Share-Shift
2018 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2018
vs.
1969
-0.02%
=
0.02%
-
0.03%
 
   
Modoc County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2018
Modoc County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2018
Figure 5.
Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Modoc County's real total personal income growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2018. The average annual percent change for the entire 49-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Modoc County's real total personal income grew at an annual rate of 1.96% over 1970-2018. The county recorded its highest growth in 1973 (27.76%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1981 (-17.77%). In 2018, Modoc County's real total personal income grew by 0.76%
Modoc County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2018
Modoc County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2018
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Modoc County's real total personal income since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2018.
During the 1970s, Modoc County's annual real total personal income growth rate averaged 3.87%. It averaged 1.24% during the 1980s, 1.53% during the 1990s, 2.87% throughout the 2000s, and 0.09% thus far this decade (2010 to 2018).
Real Total Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Real Total Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Modoc County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for California and the nation. As the chart reveals, Modoc County's average annual real total personal income growth registered above California's average in the 1970s (3.87% vs. 3.86%), fell below California's average in the 1980s (1.24% vs. 3.97%), fell below California's average throughout the 1990s (1.53% vs. 3.14%), led California's average throughout the 2000s (2.87% vs. 2.12%), and fell below California's average over the 9 year period of the last decade, 2010-2018 (0.09% vs. 3.89%).
Finally, relative to nationwide real total personal income growth trends, Modoc County registered above the nation in the 1970s (3.87% vs. 3.50%), recorded underneath the nation throughout the 1980s (1.24% vs. 3.17%), recorded underneath the nation throughout the 1990s (1.53% vs. 3.29%), led the nation in the 2000s (2.87% vs. 2.05%), and fell under the nation over 2010-2018 (0.09% vs. 2.84%).
   
 
Real* Total Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.96
3.87
1.24
1.53
2.87
0.09
0.76
 
3.38
3.86
3.97
3.14
2.12
3.89
3.90
 
2.97
3.50
3.17
3.29
2.05
2.84
3.43
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Modoc County:
Total Personal Income, 1969-2018
 
1969
 
31,864
0.200
159,201
100.0
N
0.03
1970
 
33,740
0.210
161,042
101.2
1.16
0.03
1971
 
37,674
0.218
172,492
108.3
7.11
0.04
1972
 
37,523
0.226
166,134
104.4
-3.69
0.03
1973
 
50,519
0.238
212,247
133.3
27.76
0.04
1974
 
52,886
0.263
201,240
126.4
-5.19
0.04
1975
 
54,864
0.285
192,708
121.0
-4.24
0.03
1976
 
60,622
0.300
201,858
126.8
4.75
0.03
1977
 
56,722
0.320
177,334
111.4
-12.15
0.03
1978
 
69,921
0.342
204,382
128.4
15.25
0.03
1979
 
82,156
0.373
220,547
138.5
7.91
0.03
1980
 
109,879
0.413
266,296
167.3
20.74
0.04
1981
 
98,451
0.450
218,984
137.6
-17.77
0.03
1982
 
105,804
0.475
222,952
140.0
1.81
0.03
1983
 
113,241
0.495
228,890
143.8
2.66
0.03
1984
 
123,241
0.513
240,035
150.8
4.87
0.03
1985
 
112,841
0.531
212,371
133.4
-11.53
0.03
1986
 
113,519
0.543
209,097
131.3
-1.54
0.02
1987
 
123,658
0.560
220,960
138.8
5.67
0.02
1988
 
134,532
0.582
231,349
145.3
4.70
0.02
1989
 
144,245
0.607
237,675
149.3
2.73
0.02
1990
 
150,947
0.634
238,256
149.7
0.24
0.02
1991
 
157,392
0.655
240,392
151.0
0.90
0.02
1992
 
165,684
0.672
246,488
154.8
2.54
0.02
1993
 
179,439
0.689
260,464
163.6
5.67
0.02
1994
 
181,704
0.703
258,359
162.3
-0.81
0.02
1995
 
182,280
0.718
253,833
159.4
-1.75
0.02
1996
 
184,991
0.733
252,217
158.4
-0.64
0.02
1997
 
192,247
0.746
257,624
161.8
2.14
0.02
1998
 
198,855
0.752
264,379
166.1
2.62
0.02
1999
 
210,669
0.763
275,969
173.3
4.38
0.02
2000
 
197,171
0.782
252,024
158.3
-8.68
0.02
2001
 
215,738
0.797
270,559
169.9
7.35
0.02
2002
 
239,399
0.808
296,326
186.1
9.52
0.02
2003
 
246,409
0.824
299,193
187.9
0.97
0.02
2004
 
255,510
0.844
302,698
190.1
1.17
0.02
2005
 
270,265
0.868
311,322
195.6
2.85
0.02
2006
 
275,267
0.892
308,685
193.9
-0.85
0.02
2007
 
291,860
0.914
319,189
200.5
3.40
0.02
2008
 
320,186
0.942
339,972
213.5
6.51
0.02
2009
 
340,519
0.941
361,892
227.3
6.45
0.02
2010
 
342,788
0.957
358,171
225.0
-1.03
0.02
2011
 
355,746
0.981
362,522
227.7
1.21
0.02
2012
 
353,484
1.000
353,484
222.0
-2.49
0.02
2013
 
351,989
1.013
347,314
218.2
-1.75
0.02
2014
 
369,174
1.028
359,014
225.5
3.37
0.02
2015
 
388,054
1.030
376,587
236.5
4.89
0.02
2016
 
386,891
1.041
371,685
233.5
-1.30
0.02
2017
 
382,442
1.059
361,036
226.8
-2.87
0.02
2018
 
393,406
1.081
363,783
228.5
0.76
0.02
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2019
REAP_PI_CA1400_300_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
California:
Total Personal Income, 1969-2018
 
1969
 
92,160,048
0.200
460,454,899
100.0
N
11.65
1970
 
99,417,462
0.210
474,523,708
103.1
3.06
11.62
1971
 
105,987,186
0.218
485,267,094
105.4
2.26
11.46
1972
 
116,351,066
0.226
515,146,843
111.9
6.16
11.45
1973
 
127,777,265
0.238
536,834,153
116.6
4.21
11.27
1974
 
142,507,421
0.263
542,265,681
117.8
1.01
11.45
1975
 
157,639,903
0.285
553,705,314
120.3
2.11
11.57
1976
 
174,924,788
0.300
582,461,335
126.5
5.19
11.70
1977
 
194,032,902
0.320
606,618,214
131.7
4.15
11.75
1978
 
220,640,055
0.342
644,938,923
140.1
6.32
11.89
1979
 
250,173,900
0.373
671,589,756
145.9
4.13
12.07
1980
 
284,307,980
0.413
689,031,021
149.6
2.60
12.29
1981
 
319,557,151
0.450
710,790,407
154.4
3.16
12.32
1982
 
342,342,458
0.475
721,389,198
156.7
1.49
12.32
1983
 
369,808,779
0.495
747,481,059
162.3
3.62
12.46
1984
 
410,796,416
0.513
800,102,090
173.8
7.04
12.53
1985
 
444,066,873
0.531
835,748,999
181.5
4.46
12.65
1986
 
476,682,239
0.543
878,029,543
190.7
5.06
12.82
1987
 
513,377,058
0.560
917,334,461
199.2
4.48
13.01
1988
 
558,041,138
0.582
959,641,516
208.4
4.61
13.08
1989
 
600,755,071
0.607
989,874,890
215.0
3.15
13.03
1990
 
643,684,926
0.634
1,015,997,042
220.7
2.64
13.14
1991
 
665,992,598
0.655
1,017,201,897
220.9
0.12
13.14
1992
 
702,449,072
0.672
1,045,031,200
227.0
2.74
12.98
1993
 
719,730,984
0.689
1,044,723,602
226.9
-0.03
12.74
1994
 
742,429,143
0.703
1,055,636,489
229.3
1.04
12.50
1995
 
780,642,835
0.718
1,087,079,744
236.1
2.98
12.42
1996
 
829,666,598
0.733
1,131,168,159
245.7
4.06
12.43
1997
 
882,677,306
0.746
1,182,848,862
256.9
4.57
12.45
1998
 
959,949,747
0.752
1,276,257,375
277.2
7.90
12.63
1999
 
1,026,419,347
0.763
1,344,571,966
292.0
5.35
12.83
2000
 
1,133,965,450
0.782
1,449,434,972
314.8
7.80
13.11
2001
 
1,173,768,781
0.797
1,472,031,881
319.7
1.56
13.04
2002
 
1,193,118,043
0.808
1,476,832,295
320.7
0.33
13.03
2003
 
1,248,506,484
0.824
1,515,950,465
329.2
2.65
13.17
2004
 
1,329,404,002
0.844
1,574,917,963
342.0
3.89
13.26
2005
 
1,407,285,469
0.868
1,621,072,512
352.1
2.93
13.28
2006
 
1,516,057,517
0.892
1,700,111,599
369.2
4.88
13.33
2007
 
1,581,573,294
0.914
1,729,667,418
375.6
1.74
13.18
2008
 
1,606,579,893
0.942
1,705,861,003
370.5
-1.38
12.92
2009
 
1,554,013,343
0.941
1,651,554,130
358.7
-3.18
12.89
2010
 
1,628,457,637
0.957
1,701,538,725
369.5
3.03
12.98
2011
 
1,737,940,004
0.981
1,771,040,756
384.6
4.08
13.05
2012
 
1,852,397,490
1.000
1,852,397,490
402.3
4.59
13.23
2013
 
1,886,379,052
1.013
1,861,325,609
404.2
0.48
13.31
2014
 
2,021,038,469
1.028
1,965,417,163
426.8
5.59
13.49
2015
 
2,171,947,376
1.030
2,107,765,904
457.8
7.24
13.83
2016
 
2,263,889,847
1.041
2,174,914,111
472.3
3.19
14.05
2017
 
2,370,112,356
1.059
2,237,453,725
485.9
2.88
14.05
2018
 
2,514,129,262
1.081
2,324,819,232
504.9
3.90
14.11
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2019
REAP_PI_CA1400_300_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Personal Income, 1969-2018
 
1969
 
791,229,000
0.200
3,953,180,115
100.0
N
1970
 
855,525,000
0.210
4,083,456,637
103.3
3.30
1971
 
924,613,000
0.218
4,233,382,171
107.1
3.67
1972
 
1,016,408,000
0.226
4,500,168,246
113.8
6.30
1973
 
1,133,468,000
0.238
4,762,070,414
120.5
5.82
1974
 
1,244,912,000
0.263
4,737,108,067
119.8
-0.52
1975
 
1,362,505,000
0.285
4,785,756,937
121.1
1.03
1976
 
1,495,704,000
0.300
4,980,367,608
126.0
4.07
1977
 
1,651,632,000
0.320
5,163,609,079
130.6
3.68
1978
 
1,855,849,000
0.342
5,424,714,273
137.2
5.06
1979
 
2,073,257,000
0.373
5,565,641,191
140.8
2.60
1980
 
2,313,160,000
0.413
5,606,029,761
141.8
0.73
1981
 
2,592,915,000
0.450
5,767,416,255
145.9
2.88
1982
 
2,779,794,000
0.475
5,857,623,904
148.2
1.56
1983
 
2,968,676,000
0.495
6,000,477,018
151.8
2.44
1984
 
3,279,488,000
0.513
6,387,410,163
161.6
6.45
1985
 
3,510,471,000
0.531
6,606,826,138
167.1
3.44
1986
 
3,719,647,000
0.543
6,851,440,413
173.3
3.70
1987
 
3,946,593,000
0.560
7,052,020,942
178.4
2.93
1988
 
4,267,813,000
0.582
7,339,191,072
185.7
4.07
1989
 
4,609,667,000
0.607
7,595,430,878
192.1
3.49
1990
 
4,897,821,000
0.634
7,730,756,846
195.6
1.78
1991
 
5,067,291,000
0.655
7,739,512,471
195.8
0.11
1992
 
5,409,920,000
0.672
8,048,320,390
203.6
3.99
1993
 
5,648,732,000
0.689
8,199,401,963
207.4
1.88
1994
 
5,940,128,000
0.703
8,446,079,909
213.7
3.01
1995
 
6,286,143,000
0.718
8,753,732,715
221.4
3.64
1996
 
6,673,186,000
0.733
9,098,227,579
230.1
3.94
1997
 
7,086,935,000
0.746
9,496,984,844
240.2
4.38
1998
 
7,601,594,000
0.752
10,106,352,372
255.7
6.42
1999
 
8,001,563,000
0.763
10,481,756,137
265.1
3.71
2000
 
8,650,325,000
0.782
11,056,847,958
279.7
5.49
2001
 
9,001,839,000
0.797
11,289,271,113
285.6
2.10
2002
 
9,155,663,000
0.808
11,332,808,922
286.7
0.39
2003
 
9,480,901,000
0.824
11,511,815,488
291.2
1.58
2004
 
10,028,781,000
0.844
11,880,893,485
300.5
3.21
2005
 
10,593,946,000
0.868
12,203,319,818
308.7
2.71
2006
 
11,372,589,000
0.892
12,753,256,555
322.6
4.51
2007
 
12,002,204,000
0.914
13,126,057,000
332.0
2.92
2008
 
12,438,527,000
0.942
13,207,185,177
334.1
0.62
2009
 
12,051,307,000
0.941
12,807,731,630
324.0
-3.02
2010
 
12,541,995,000
0.957
13,104,848,232
331.5
2.32
2011
 
13,315,478,000
0.981
13,569,084,183
343.2
3.54
2012
 
13,998,383,000
1.000
13,998,383,000
354.1
3.16
2013
 
14,175,503,000
1.013
13,987,234,819
353.8
-0.08
2014
 
14,982,715,000
1.028
14,570,373,432
368.6
4.17
2015
 
15,709,242,000
1.030
15,245,030,812
385.6
4.63
2016
 
16,111,636,000
1.041
15,478,414,080
391.5
1.53
2017
 
16,870,106,000
1.059
15,925,861,662
402.9
2.89
2018
 
17,813,035,000
1.081
16,471,741,121
416.7
3.43
Source: Calculations by the California Regional Economic Analysis Project (CA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2019
REAP_PI_CA1400_300_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2020. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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