Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Other Services (except Public Administration) Earnings Growth
Across California Counties
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
California:
2010-2022 = 3.61%
2022 = 9.78%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real other services (except public administration) earnings growth across all of California's 58 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this California Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real other services (except public administration) earnings growth of California's 58 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
California:
2010-2022 = 3.61%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure displays the 58 counties of California as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real other services (except public administration) earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.61%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.61% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.61%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 17 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 30 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 15 counties whose most recent (2022) real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (9.78%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 32 counties whose real other services (except public administration) earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 58 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.61% over 2010-2022 and 9.78% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.61%) and near-term (9.78%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.61%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the California average (9.78%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.61%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (9.78%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.61%) and near-term (9.78%).
   
 
Summary of California's 58 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(9.78%)
Above
(9.78%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.61%)
11
6
17
Below
(3.61%)
21
9
30
 
32
15
47
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
California:
2010-2022 = 3.61%
2022 = 9.78%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the California counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed California's average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.61%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of California's 58 counties, just 6 (10%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
California:
2010-2022 = 3.61%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 California counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.61%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 11 (19%) of California's 58 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
California:
2010-2022 = 3.61%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 California counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.61%), while they outpaced California's average near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of California's 58 counties, 16% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
California:
2010-2022 = 3.61%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 21 California counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.61%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
36% of California's counties, 21 of 58, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
California
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration) Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
7
4.36
 
6
11.26
3,186,708
 
6
4.48
 
1
21.80
19,714
 
16
3.64
 
5
11.29
611,964
 
10
4.01
 
14
10.29
823,550
 
5
4.65
 
3
12.99
518,357
 
1
6.13
 
2
19.57
17,401
Slipping Counties
 
11
4.00
 
33
7.79
161,212
 
2
5.41
 
22
9.03
212,569
 
13
3.91
 
49
4.29
26,749
 
4
4.89
 
25
8.93
3,099,486
 
14
3.86
 
24
8.97
2,669,847
 
3
5.09
 
20
9.22
69,845
 
8
4.36
 
41
6.64
2,767,418
 
17
3.62
 
28
8.48
1,864,371
 
9
4.13
 
19
9.50
572,944
 
15
3.80
 
18
9.58
958,241
 
12
3.98
 
23
8.99
477,500
Gaining Counties
 
32
2.85
 
16
10.14
42,111
 
34
2.77
 
10
10.53
340,103
 
31
2.85
 
17
9.93
976,556
 
18
3.48
 
15
10.27
18,144,514
 
47
0.69
 
12
10.41
8,965
 
23
3.25
 
7
11.19
261,071
 
24
3.12
 
9
10.80
5,059,369
 
20
3.40
 
4
11.45
5,240,434
 
19
3.43
 
13
10.34
772,720
Lagging Counties
 
45
1.69
 
42
6.45
48,444
 
27
3.03
 
47
4.80
1,664,998
 
35
2.76
 
46
5.23
19,809
 
36
2.70
 
48
4.62
31,221
 
33
2.81
 
36
7.18
227,380
 
46
1.00
 
34
7.65
23,175
 
39
2.63
 
31
8.10
109,297
 
38
2.69
 
39
6.75
67,138
 
42
2.43
 
51
-1.09
19,731
 
21
3.35
 
21
9.22
234,243
 
41
2.44
 
37
6.94
21,351
 
43
2.35
 
40
6.74
417,460
 
25
3.09
 
35
7.53
2,966,857
 
29
2.91
 
38
6.79
250,004
 
37
2.69
 
43
6.34
48,050
 
22
3.31
 
26
8.82
603,816
 
28
2.95
 
29
8.42
91,575
 
30
2.88
 
50
3.82
59,520
 
44
2.13
 
45
5.94
62,127
 
40
2.62
 
30
8.21
1,147,176
 
26
3.08
 
27
8.59
284,534
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
8
10.80
250,385
 
U
U
 
32
7.91
1,293,601
 
U
U
 
S
S
166,232
 
U
U
 
S
S
774,273
 
U
U
 
44
6.11
123,033
 
U
U
 
11
10.44
604,950
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,041,647
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,734
 
U
U
 
S
S
57,358
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.61
 
9.78
63,637,126
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.99
 
9.15
514,542,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611900_LSGL
 
   
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