Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Military Earnings Growth
Across California Counties
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
California:
2010-2022 = 1.09%
2022 = -0.64%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real military earnings growth across all of California's 58 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this California Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real military earnings growth of California's 58 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
California:
2010-2022 = 1.09%
2022 = -0.64%
This figure displays the 58 counties of California as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real military earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real military earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real military earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.09%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.09% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.09%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 21 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 37 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 38 counties whose most recent (2022) real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-0.64%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 20 counties whose real military earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 58 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.09% over 2010-2022 and -0.64% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.09%) and near-term (-0.64%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.09%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the California average (-0.64%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.09%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (-0.64%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.09%) and near-term (-0.64%).
   
 
Summary of California's 58 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(-0.64%)
Above
(-0.64%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.09%)
10
11
21
Below
(1.09%)
10
27
37
 
20
38
58
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
California:
2010-2022 = 1.09%
2022 = -0.64%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the California counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed California's average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.09%) as well as near-term (2022 = -0.64%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of California's 58 counties, 11 (19%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
California:
2010-2022 = 1.09%
2022 = -0.64%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 10 California counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.09%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = -0.64%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 10 (17%) of California's 58 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
California:
2010-2022 = 1.09%
2022 = -0.64%
This figure shows the distribution of the 27 California counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.09%), while they outpaced California's average near-term (2022 = -0.64%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of California's 58 counties, 47% (27) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
California:
2010-2022 = 1.09%
2022 = -0.64%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 10 California counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.09%) as well as near-term (2022 = -0.64%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
17% of California's counties, 10 of 58, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
California
Real* Military Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
17
1.93
 
17
5.65
283,821
 
14
2.07
 
6
8.80
27,992
 
9
3.17
 
31
1.17
387,581
 
16
1.96
 
2
14.17
2,304
 
10
2.87
 
19
5.05
26,943
 
20
1.39
 
3
9.98
27,567
 
12
2.40
 
15
6.41
196,893
 
6
4.28
 
21
4.93
31,709
 
19
1.51
 
32
1.13
179
 
8
3.36
 
25
4.20
857,222
 
13
2.18
 
18
5.41
108,014
Slipping Counties
 
1
627.16
 
58
-98.55
64
 
21
1.39
 
55
-31.77
2,094
 
4
20.20
 
54
-27.52
1,583
 
11
2.46
 
41
-2.89
36,360
 
2
69.55
 
57
-92.64
1,021
 
5
5.26
 
45
-4.05
849,353
 
3
21.20
 
56
-47.30
469
 
18
1.91
 
46
-5.60
582,547
 
15
2.06
 
49
-7.27
569,743
 
7
4.14
 
43
-3.07
419,296
Gaining Counties
 
52
-0.73
 
5
8.96
12,672
 
50
-0.72
 
23
4.47
2,595
 
51
-0.72
 
28
3.47
1,223
 
23
0.95
 
16
5.66
11,396
 
39
-0.01
 
10
7.43
8,951
 
56
-1.48
 
24
4.47
26,023
 
55
-1.27
 
29
2.83
944
 
24
0.87
 
9
7.78
8,202
 
30
0.54
 
8
7.87
16,891
 
46
-0.56
 
12
6.88
7,757
 
49
-0.70
 
34
0.57
5,644
 
47
-0.57
 
27
3.53
235,458
 
54
-1.16
 
35
0.56
1,083
 
28
0.69
 
20
5.01
3,774
 
40
-0.15
 
38
-0.52
1,465,029
 
22
1.00
 
33
0.82
9,635,875
 
31
0.47
 
22
4.50
89,443
 
29
0.61
 
37
0.26
49,987
 
27
0.72
 
36
0.36
65,372
 
44
-0.52
 
14
6.51
15,015
 
38
0.14
 
11
7.31
33,151
 
26
0.77
 
1
16.43
6,648
 
42
-0.27
 
13
6.86
3,815
 
34
0.37
 
30
2.10
877
 
36
0.17
 
7
8.22
28,278
 
41
-0.18
 
4
9.86
3,187
 
32
0.42
 
26
4.20
14,828
Lagging Counties
 
35
0.25
 
42
-2.98
68,757
 
58
-3.55
 
53
-25.51
1,390
 
57
-2.18
 
40
-2.03
63,873
 
43
-0.36
 
47
-5.98
3,803
 
45
-0.52
 
50
-7.34
826,028
 
25
0.77
 
44
-3.63
202,634
 
48
-0.62
 
52
-20.87
230,637
 
37
0.16
 
39
-0.96
148,999
 
33
0.41
 
51
-15.56
11,685
 
53
-1.10
 
48
-7.23
2,426
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.09
 
-0.64
17,727,105
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.97
 
0.54
157,200,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620200_LSGL
 
   
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